Friday, December 30, 2011

The UN on the SEC

In sharp contrast to Enough, Global Witness, and ICAR, the latest Group of Experts Report proposes that companies be allowed in certain cases to avoid having to describe a product as either conflict-free or not:

United States Securities and Exchange Commission
(bb) The Securities and Exchange Commission of the United States should make reference, in the implementing rules of the Dodd-Frank Act, to the due diligence recommendations of OECD and the Group as reliable due diligence processes for meeting relevant aspects of the reporting requirements set out in section 1502 of the Act. As a time-bound measure, “issuers” should describe a product as neither “DRC conflict free” nor “not DRC conflict free” when the issuer and the mineral processor have:
(i) Taken reasonable steps and made good-faith efforts to conduct due diligence;
(ii) Know and can show that they have identified, assessed and responded to risks in accordance with the risk management strategies recommended by the due diligence recommendations of OECD and the Group;
(cc) Where risks of direct or indirect support for public or private security forces are identified, and issuers and mineral processors decide to continue to trade, they must demonstrate significant measurable improvement within six months and have their due diligence practices audited by an independent third party. If, within six months of the adoption of the risk management plan, there is no significant, measurable improvement, issuers and mineral processors should discontinue their engagement or suspend their relationship with the supplier for a minimum of three months.
By contrast, this is what the International Corporate Accountability Roundtable wrote to the SEC about this matter:
Specifically, companies should not be allowed to report that the minerals in their products are of indeterminate origin; rather, if companies fail to determine the origin of the minerals in their products, they must describe them as “Not DRC-Conflict Free” in their Conflict Minerals report.
The International Corporate Accountability Roundtable (“ICAR”) is a coalition of human rights groups including Amnesty International, EarthRights International, Global Witness, Human Rights First, and Human Rights Watch.

Reuters Joins Gang of Warlords & Lobbyists

The UN just released its latest Group of Experts report on the DRC. The news agency Reuters, clearly in the pay of Bosco Ntaganda (or the US Chamber of Commerce), reports on it thusly:

Conflict minerals crackdown backfiring in Congo—UN
By Jonny Hogg and Graham Holliday
KINSHASA, Dec 30 (Reuters) - A U.S. crackdown on so-called "conflict minerals" in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo has backfired by pushing trade deeper into the hands of criminals and smugglers, including at least one former rebel leader, a U.N. report said on Friday.
The new UN report, available here, goes into considerable detail on a variety of topics, from an update on the region's armed groups to summaries of harebrained attempts at gold smuggling to an analysis of the impact of SEC 1502 on militia participation at several important mines in north and south Kivu. One thing it doesn't do is what I've been calling for: undertake a thorough assessment of the impact the de facto embargo is having on the miners and their families. Still, the report is worth reading in depth. As most of these UN reports have been, it is well-written and impressively detailed—even the annexes are worth perusing.

I'll have more to say once I finish reading it.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Bisie: A Reality Check

One of the most repeated criticisms of my NY Times piece about conflict minerals is that in my zeal to make the case against Dodd Frank I ignored the many positive developments that were happening on the ground as a result of it. Principal among those developments was said to be the de-militarization of Bisie, the largest tin mine in the Kivus.
Below I cite three instances of advocates making that argument, but there have been many more. Advocates have advanced the claim that Bisie has been demilitarized not only in writing but in conference after conference and to numerous journalists, diplomats, and policymakers. In fact, I can't think of another development they have cited nearly as often as this one to demonstrate the legislation's achievements.

  • However, we have already seen a number of changes in the minerals sector, which can, in part or in whole, be attributed to the impending arrival of DoddFrank, or rather DoddFrank in its full form. Those include some very positive impacts. For the first time in five years, the Congolese Government has removed national army units from the region’s most important mine, which is called Bisie in Walikale in North Kivu, which accounts for around 70% of the tin ore production from the province. That is pretty unprecedented in terms of the history of this conflict. Mike Davis, Global Witness, House of Commons, Tuesday 13 September 2011, Oral Evidence Taken Before The International Development Committee Inquiry Into Working Effectively In Fragile And Conflict Affected States: DRC, Rwanda And Burundi 
  • International pressure generated by the Dodd Frank Act and UN and OECD initiatives has already persuaded the Congolese government to remove army units that were illegally occupying key mining areas. The most important example is the withdrawal of troops from the region’s largest tin mine, Bisie, which accounts for 70% of the tin ore produced in North Kivu Province. This paves the way for the establishment of a conflict free mineral trade that meets international due diligence standards and can foster peaceful economic development in the region.     Global Witness, Unsigned. August 10th, 2011. "The Dodd-Frank Act – recent developments and the case for urgent action." 
  • Since the legislation passed, it has had a direct impact on armed commanders. Our team travels frequently to Congo, and we have seen first-hand how the Congolese army has pulled out of several major mines. For example, the Bisie mine produces some 70 percent of North Kivu's tin ore and was occupied illegally by a renegade unit of the Congolese army for years, but was demilitarized this year. Whether this demilitarization lasts is dependent on further reform, but it is starting to occur at Bisie and several other mines.     Sasha Lezhnev, The Enough Project, on Aug 09, 2011     "What Conflict Minerals Legislation Is Actually Accomplishing in Congo"
Given that Bisie was the advocates' primary example of success, it is worth checking in with some researchers who have actually visited the mine recently. IPIS and Fatal Transactions are well-known for their thorough mapping reports of the conflicts in the Congo. No one would call them stooges for the Chamber of Commerce. Recently, a couple of their researchers visited Bisie. This is what they had to say:
Much has happened in the mining sector of Eastern DRC over the last year. President Kabila imposed a ban on all mining activities last fall, during which production fell considerably. As soon as the suspension was lifted in the spring of this year, the major global electronic companies stopped buying minerals from the region, provoking a de facto embargo on Congo’s minerals with detrimental effects on the sector. At the same time, the Congolese government has taken major steps to restructure its army in the east of the country. These different decisions in the mining and security sectors have affected the nature and volume of minerals production and export and have reconfigured the security situation in the region. The consequences of these actions are discussed and illustrated with the use of the most important and well-known cassiterite mine in North Kivu called Bisie.

Bisie shows first that production fell significantly during the ban, but mining activities unquestionably continued, as satellite imagery indicates. Second, despite the ban’s focus on ending the involvement of military and civil authorities in the illicit exploitation and trade of minerals, certain military units strengthened their grip. Third, while the regular army withdrew from many mining sites as a result of military restructuring, armed groups sometimes filled the void, increasing widespread insecurity. Fourth, the de facto embargo has decreased the potential profit for armed groups and corrupt military units, but it has also left many miners unemployed, increased smuggling, and undermined the continuation of important government and industry-led due diligence initiatives.
Sarah Zingg Wimmer, Filip Hilgert
IPIS and Fatal Transactions, 28 November, 2011
 Bisie. A one-year snapshot of the DRC’s principal cassiterite mine
So to summarize: The electronics companies stopped buying the minerals, thus imposing a de facto embargo.  The embargo has led to a precipitous drop in mineral exports, and driven the remainder of the trade underground. While some army units have left Bisie, other units have strengthened their control over other portions of it.  Elsewhere, militia groups moved back in as soon as the army withdrew. While armed groups may, on the whole, be making less money than they used to from minerals, the embargo has deprived miners of their livelihoods, increased smuggling, and thrown a wrench into the various government and industry-led due-diligence initiatives that were in place and trying to move the issue forward. 

If that's the advocates' primary example of success, I'd hate to see what their idea of failure is.

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

1502: A Better Way

Two civil society organizations in eastern Congo have written the SEC to propose a better way of implementing Section 1502 of Dodd-Frank law. The two groups, Observatoire Gouvernance et Paix (OGP), led by Eric Kajemba, and Bureau d'Etudes Scientifiques et Techniques (BEST), led by Pere Didier de Failly, submitted their letter on December 26.

Briefly, they argue that the problem with the legislation as it now stands is that there are no mechanisms  in place to determine which minerals are "conflict-free." As a result, companies had little choice but to instruct smelters to stop accepting mineral shipments from the region. A better way to harness some of the benefits of 1502 is to put the mechanisms in place first, so that the legitimate mineral trade has a chance to grow and gradually crowd out the illegal trade.

In their letter, they:
(i) describe the current impact of § 1502 of the Dodd-Frank Act on mining communities in eastern DRC;
(ii) outline the mechanisms necessary for the traceability and due diligence of conflict minerals;
(iii) recommend a phased approach for implementing § 1502; and
(iv) encourage the Commission to undertake a more comprehensive cost-benefit analysis before promulgating its final rule, in part by studying the law’s impact on local communities.

I think their proposal is a far more thoughtful way of proceeding. It is in keeping with the consensus of informed local opinion. It harnesses the potential benefits of 1502 without accelerating the harm it has caused.

I suspect that the perspective of two little ngos in eastern Congo won't count for all that much in the SEC's deliberation, but one can always hope. If you believe it represents a wiser course, please write a letter of support to the SEC at this address.

Sunday, December 25, 2011

Have Global Witness and Enough Brought Kwashiorkor to Central Africa?

Wikipedia Photo of Children
suffering from Kwahsiorkor
Imagine that your stated goal is to advocate for patients suffering from a terrible, debilitating disease, and that a new drug comes along that promises to alleviate many of the worst symptoms of this disease. Now imagine that the expense and difficulty of producing the drug, coupled with the fact that the disease itself is rare and little known, make it hard to get anyone interested in manufacturing the drug and putting it in the FDA pipeline. Imagine, nevertheless, that you find a company willing to risk producing the drug and succeed in persuading the relevant decision-makers to put it on the fast track for approval.

Now imagine that reports start filtering in from clinics where patients are being treated experimentally with the drug. The reports, at best, are mixed. At worst, they suggest that the drug may be truly harmful.

What do you do?

Do you redouble your efforts to get the drug approved? Mobilize the public to lobby elected officials by emphasizing the horrors of the disease and demanding that the government take action? Blame sensationalist media for playing up negative reports? Dismiss accounts of the drug's ill-effects as "temporary setbacks" or "inevitable side-effects"? Do you hold conferences in prestigious venues where only one side of the issue gets discussed? Plant stories in friendly media casting dissenting voices as shills rather than patient-advocates? Cherry pick a couple of patients to act as spokesmen? And if all else fails, do you rely on that old rhetorical standby, that the drug was never meant to be a "panacea"?

Or do you take a step back and revisit the research? Do you spend a little bit of the money you have on hand to make sure that you've got it right? Do you hire a few of the top specialists to conduct an independent evaluation? Do you make sure that you aren't breaking the physician's first commandment--to do no harm?

The analogy to the conflict minerals campaign isn't perfect of course. There is no accepted methodology for evaluating human rights advocacy. Nor is there any independent agency tasked with evaluating human rights policy initiatives. Nor, finally, is there any established forum for bringing the voices of those affected by the policy into the discussion. On all of these matters, we rely, traditionally, on the wisdom and good sense of advocacy groups, and trust that they speak for the people whose interests they claim to represent. And precisely for that reason, advocates should act with an abundance of caution, making sure that the work they do meets with the approval and support of the local population, Above all, advocates should cause as little harm as possible, and no more than is absolutely necessary.

Which is why I've been so astonished and saddened by the reaction of Global Witness and the Enough Project to news that their campaign is causing severe unintended harm to the people of eastern Congo. Many of the most important questions about the benefits and harms of the conflict minerals campaign are wholly empirical. I've outlined them here. Answers can be gathered by a small team of qualified social scientists in a matter of weeks, not months, at an expense that ranges in the tens and not the hundreds of thousands of dollars. But even as one after another independent scholar or human rights group comes out with a report alleging that the campaign has caused people irremediable harm, the advocacy groups have chosen to respond as if the truth of the matter could be settled by winning a public relations campaign.

I write on Christmas Day with real anger. I have just received independent confirmation that children in two mining communities are suffering from the protein malnutrition disease kwashiorkor as a direct result of the embargo on Congolese minerals brought about by the conflict minerals campaign. This must be a historic first: Never in the history of human rights advocacy have advocacy groups, with nothing but the best of intentions, brought so much predictable suffering to the people they purport to defend. And never before have they then blithely denied that anything had gone awry, despite mounting evidence to the contrary.

So Merry Christmas Global Witness! Merry Christmas, Enough Project! Congratulations on all your good works. And may you spare an idle thought, this holiday season, for the people whose lives you have so carelessly smashed up.

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Headline of the Day

No End to the Tears
Analysis: Congo set to remain world's worst nation
--The BBC, calling it like they see it

Saturday, December 17, 2011

Memo to US Africa Policy Makers

Go read the comments in Jason Stearns' recent blog post on the elections in Congo.

This one in particular struck my eye:
Is it the democracy selective?
Kagame is close to Bill clinton, the former US president that during his mandate, the US helps Kagame entered DRCongo ( Zaire) and Kabila is supported by Kagame and Clinton is the US State department chief is it possible to get change in DRCongo political?
Now that we see that USA, Western countries are supporting Rwanda, Uganda to kill more than 6 millions of our brothers and systers in RDCongo for economical interested and Help the so called Hypolyte Kanambe alias " Joseph Kabila, the Fraud winner of Election " we have the right and option to defend our rights including by terrorism actions, Wapons and all options to defend our country against Rwanda, Uganda and Western countries invasion.
To finish my analyse, We congolese understand now, the reason of El-shabah are fighting, Taliba, and others. When economical interested become more important that democraty and free speech, it become important to be associate with other to defend people interest.
It's the begining of the fight and the fight will be popular. Ingeta
 I don't know how prevalent this sort of sentiment is in Congo just yet.  I've long been puzzled that Congolese aren't angrier at Americans, and it may be premature to suggest there has been any significant change in mood among them. The politically powerless can remain quiescent for an awfully long time. But you've got to figure that they'll get angry, at some point, and that their anger, once it finds release, could be dangerous. The weak tend to lash out indiscriminately when they feel cheated. If the United States continues along the path many of us see it as having set for itself--of refusing to recognize and support the democratic aspirations of the Congolese people--this sort of sentiment may become more and more common. I have no idea how common, or if it will ever be acted on, but isn't the point of diplomacy to minimize these sorts of risks?

Friday, December 16, 2011

US to Congolese: Democracy Tomorrow, Maybe! (But not Today)

US assistant secretary of state for Africa Johnny Carson told senators at a hearing on the Congo today (Thursday, 12/15) that while there were "flaws" in last week's election, he doesn't believe that anyone can prove that the outcome would have been different had the election been run properly. He also told the senators that the US encourages the opposition to take their complaints to the courts (where they will be dismissed), but not to the streets. Peacefully assembling could provoke Kabila's trigger-happy troops, he warned, undermining US efforts to keep Kabila in power. Finally, he congratulated Kabila for the great effort he put into making the elections worth stealing in the first place.

That's not exactly what he said, of course. He's a highly paid professional diplomat. His job is to say something that gives the impression he means one thing while actually saying another, but never in a way that can be called a flat-out lie. And give him credit: he's very good at what he does.

In fact, if you don't speak diplomatese, you might have come away thinking that the US is deeply concerned about what has happened in Congo and is working hard to rectify it.

Fortunately, I lived and worked among diplomats for several years and can understand their language, although I speak it badly. So allow me to translate. First, I'll give the quote from Carson, then I'll translate what he meant into human English, and finally I'll tell what Carson would have said if, in some alternate universe, the US actually gave a damn about the Congo.

I
Carson: The DRC is the largest country in Sub-Saharan Africa. With a population of over 71 million, it lies at the core of Central Africa and is bordered by nine other countries. It is also a country of enormous economic potential...

Meaning: I'm going to bore you with shit I took out of wikipedia so you're all too stupefied to ask me tough questions. By the way, did you catch that phrase: "at the core of central Africa"? It takes Grade A Diplomatic Gravitas to get away with shit like that.

Alternate Universe Carson: He would have skipped this crap and gone straight to the issues.

On Hitchens

--Not Congo Related--

Even his games were intimidating. Re-titling Shakespeare plays as Ludlum thrillers: The Elsinore Vacillation, the Dunsinane Reforestation, The Rialto Sanction, etc.

So naturally, coming up, he was the guy you wanted to get into the ring with. I got the chance myself, briefly. He had come to Middletown, Ct., to give a talk--on what I forget--and after his speech I rose shakily on undergraduate legs to challenge him on some minor point. (This was ages before Iraq.) Me: "I have a question for you, Mr. Hitchens, but I'm afraid you'll take it as a bit belligerent." Hitchens: "I wouldn't worry about that." Me: "That's just it. I'm afraid you'll enjoy it too much."

Gratifying chuckles from the audience. But it was the chesire of a smile emanating from Hitchens that I basked on for weeks.

His topics--Kissinger, God, Mother Teresa, the British royalty--always struck me as woefully undeserving of his talents. We all felt that way about Kissinger, though it was good to have the case made so concisely. But lascivious troll that he was, Kissinger was embedded in an entire social and ideological system, and it was the system that needed working over. Excising Kissinger from his environment made him seem at once too big and too little for the accusations Hitchens leveled against him.

And what was it about the mildly objectionable that so reliably got Hitchens' goat?  The mother superior turned out to be a bit of a huckster? No surprise there: real saints seldom garner much press coverage. Princess Diana? Pretty, and pretty dull--hardly worth the indignation she summoned out of him. I sometimes wondered if there wasn't a hidden source of rage within the man that found a safe release in smashing these Hamilton Collection figurines. God knows he had reason enough for anger.

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Free Fair DRC Maps Electoral Blips #DRC2011 #congo

Free Fair DRC has just published an excellent map of the questionable electoral results.
Now we need a similar map for post-electoral violence. Ushahidi Man, Where Are You?